Cloud Dawning won despite Team Refuser holding the stronger draft (-437). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Team Refuser fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★654 vs ★3659), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Team Refuser (-437), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.