Lucky Number 9 won despite NG: Into the Bonk holding the stronger draft (-490). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

NG: Into the Bonk fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★37000 vs ★42000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of NG: Into the Bonk (-490), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.