水明楼 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (-477), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

小马过河 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★15332 vs ★19073), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 水明楼 (-477), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.