误闯天家 came out on top despite a slight draft disadvantage (-361). At this level, small matchup gaps rarely decide the outcome.

误闯天家 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★16986 vs ★17801), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 一鹿顺风 (-361), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.