supp diff won despite Akatsuki holding the stronger draft (+439). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

supp diff fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★11928 vs ★15564), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Akatsuki (+439), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.