Kiba Arms won despite Air Defence holding the stronger draft (-473). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Air Defence fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★18621 vs ★23390), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Air Defence (-473), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.