小破船 won despite 误闯天家 holding the stronger draft (-564). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

误闯天家 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★15400 vs ★15723), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

误闯天家 holds a clear draft edge at -564 total matchup score. 小破船 will need to outperform individually to close the gap.