一鹿顺风 won despite 马到成功 holding the stronger draft (+411). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

马到成功 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★12944 vs ★14040), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 马到成功 (+411), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.