马到成功 won despite 天下会 holding the stronger draft (+436). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

马到成功 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★10442 vs ★19150), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 天下会 (+436), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.