咸菜超人 won despite 守护小鸡2.0 holding the stronger draft (-490). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

守护小鸡2.0 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★22776 vs ★29375), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 守护小鸡2.0 (-490), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.