Facção Carinhosa won despite TROPA DO MIKE holding the stronger draft (+440). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Facção Carinhosa fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★14490 vs ★28106), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of TROPA DO MIKE (+440), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.