一鹿顺风 won despite MDY holding the stronger draft (+486). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

一鹿顺风 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★12649 vs ★14184), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of MDY (+486), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.