浪浪山 won despite 大板鲫 holding the stronger draft (+425). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

大板鲫 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★12892 vs ★16322), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 大板鲫 (+425), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.