新裤子 came out on top despite a slight draft disadvantage (+363). At this level, small matchup gaps rarely decide the outcome.

烧鸟洗脸酥 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★16728 vs ★22585), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 烧鸟洗脸酥 (+363), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.