摆烂吧 won despite 菜市场 holding the stronger draft (-459). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

摆烂吧 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★8307 vs ★19353), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 菜市场 (-459), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.