大卡车 won despite 和平鸽 holding the stronger draft (+488). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

大卡车 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★14475 vs ★17179), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 和平鸽 (+488), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.