Disciples of Chungus won despite Chesgape Gaming holding the stronger draft (-490). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Chesgape Gaming fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★8972 vs ★10032), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Chesgape Gaming (-490), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.