D T K won despite Los Incarreables holding the stronger draft (-486). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

D T K fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★35763 vs ★45000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Los Incarreables (-486), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.