Discolados won despite Bonde dos Careca holding the stronger draft (-492). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Bonde dos Careca fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★34314 vs ★36161), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Bonde dos Careca (-492), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.