DOXY won despite BOWTRUCKLE holding the stronger draft (+430). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

DOXY fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★7765 vs ★9582), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of BOWTRUCKLE (+430), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.