Hokori won despite EARTH GAMING holding the stronger draft (-450). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Hokori fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★2326 vs ★4344), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of EARTH GAMING (-450), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.