黑风寨 won despite 一鹿顺风 holding the stronger draft (-456). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

黑风寨 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★6952 vs ★12671), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 一鹿顺风 (-456), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.