小破船 won despite 桃气满满 holding the stronger draft (-528). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

桃气满满 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★12447 vs ★27670), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

桃气满满 holds a clear draft edge at -528 total matchup score. 小破船 will need to outperform individually to close the gap.