UltraWashedUp won despite 5gegenWilly holding the stronger draft (-447). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

5gegenWilly fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★26779 vs ★42000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 5gegenWilly (-447), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.