Emberfall won despite Chaos Rift holding the stronger draft (-430). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Chaos Rift fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★37000 vs ★39020), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Chaos Rift (-430), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.