血雨绸缪 won despite 水明楼 holding the stronger draft (-457). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

水明楼 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★7736 vs ★14273), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 水明楼 (-457), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.