Winline won despite ARBALET-GAMING holding the stronger draft (-437). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

ARBALET-GAMING fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★16287 vs ★22730), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of ARBALET-GAMING (-437), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.