Canada won despite Mexico holding the stronger draft (-471). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Canada fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★1747 vs ★6786), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Mexico (-471), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.