Costa Rica won despite Guatemala holding the stronger draft (-470). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Costa Rica fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★7189 vs ★20159), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Guatemala (-470), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.