小飞棍来喽 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (+492), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

菜篮子 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★16056 vs ★16974), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 小飞棍来喽 (+492), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.