小破船 took the win with a modest draft edge (-376), confirming that the matchup data leaned the right way.

小破船 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★18492 vs ★20645), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 小破船 (-376), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.