Pipsqueak+4 won with a clear draft edge backing them up (-433), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

4Pirates fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★1417 vs ★1895), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Pipsqueak+4 (-433), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.