Carstensz Esports won despite Aomqu and friends holding the stronger draft (-406). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Aomqu and friends fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★388 vs ★2368), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Aomqu and friends (-406), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.