Xtreme Gaming won despite Nigma Galaxy holding the stronger draft (-452). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Nigma Galaxy fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★270 vs ★606), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Nigma Galaxy (-452), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.