泉水保卫队 won despite 不一轮就算赢 holding the stronger draft (-461). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

不一轮就算赢 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★7944 vs ★11176), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 不一轮就算赢 (-461), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.