小破船 came out on top despite a slight draft disadvantage (+355). At this level, small matchup gaps rarely decide the outcome.

小破船 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★6525 vs ★12257), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 有杰选杰 (+355), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.