Natus Vincere won despite Team Liquid holding the stronger draft (+482). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Natus Vincere fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★592 vs ★830), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Team Liquid (+482), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.