Aurora Gaming won despite Virtus.pro holding the stronger draft (-474). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Virtus.pro fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★369 vs ★4220), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Virtus.pro (-474), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.