泉水保卫队 won despite 以我残躯化烈火 holding the stronger draft (+433). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

以我残躯化烈火 fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★11535 vs ★13743), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 以我残躯化烈火 (+433), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.