Carnival of Dust came out on top despite a slight draft disadvantage (-204). At this level, small matchup gaps rarely decide the outcome.

Carnival of Dust fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★42000 vs ★45000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The draft is fairly balanced (-204), with neither team holding a significant statistical edge. This one is likely to be decided by play rather than picks.