TSR.RESERVES won with a clear draft edge backing them up (-435), turning their statistical advantage into the expected result.

TSR.RESERVES fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★21000 vs ★32000), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of TSR.RESERVES (-435), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.