泉水保卫队 won despite 锦衣卫·东厂 holding the stronger draft (-448). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

锦衣卫·东厂 holds an edge in player rank compared to 泉水保卫队 (★13858 vs ★13974), suggesting a modest difference in raw player calibre.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of 锦衣卫·东厂 (-448), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.