Winter Bear won despite StrongBoys holding the stronger draft (-440). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

StrongBoys fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★534 vs ★978), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of StrongBoys (-440), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.