Tundra Esports won despite Aurora Gaming holding the stronger draft (+464). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

Tundra Esports fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★514 vs ★4258), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Aurora Gaming (+464), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.