BalAER won despite Esports_pktim holding the stronger draft (-450). The matchup matrix was wrong on this one — individual skill and in-game decisions proved decisive.

BalAER fields a noticeably stronger squad by leaderboard rank (★14746 vs ★16975), giving them a tangible individual skill advantage heading into this match.

The matchup matrix leans in favour of Esports_pktim (-450), though the draft is far from one-sided — execution will matter more than the numbers suggest.